About two-thirds support Biden. This report was featured in the Wednesday, Sept. 16, 2020, episode of “Start Here,” ABC News’ daily news podcast. Biden's 8-point put him in a better than Hillary Clinton, who had a 3-point advantage in the poll after the 2016 conventions. These findings are from the ERC’s third set of 2020 battleground … In both states, there's a vast gender gap between the candidates; while men divide closely, Biden leads Trump among women by 60%-39% in Wisconsin and 67%-31% in Minnesota. The 2020 United States presidential election in Wisconsin is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. But the Morning Consult poll found little evidence to support that assertion, given Biden's apparent gain in Wisconsin and his continued lead in Minnesota, where violent demonstrations broke out after the death of George Floyd in Minneapolis police custody. FiveThirtyEight has Biden up 7.2% in its polling average, down from 9.3% a week earlier. [17], Similar problems with poll station closures and long lines were reported in Waukesha, where only one polling station was opened for a city of 70,000, and Green Bay, where only 17 poll workers out of 270 were able to work. . Today Biden has 52% support among likely voters there, with 46% for Trump -- not a statistically significant difference given the survey's margin of sampling error. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined. Vote preferences among issue groups differ profoundly. While wearing medical-like personal protective equipment of gloves, a mask, and full gown, he told reporters that it was "incredibly safe to go out" and vote, adding that voters faced "minimal exposure. The Wisconsin primary is an open primary, with the state awarding 97 delegates, of which 84 are pledged delegates allocated on the basis of the results of the primary election. © Copyright 2003-2020: Scott Elliott, All Rights Reserved. Earlier in August, the poll found Trump's favorable rating at 35% and his unfavorable rating at 58%. Compare that with the pandemic itself: on this, 54% in Wisconsin and 60% in Minnesota disapprove of Trump's work. Among five of these issues tested for their priority, all matter. Preferences can change. Calculated averages are not comparable to those for the Biden vs. Trump polls. With both states permitting no-excuse absentee voting, the most popular early voting method is by mail, preferred by 21% in Wisconsin and 24% in Minnesota. The Republican candidate won the special election, causing no change to the congressional delegation's partisan makeup. One factor in Biden's strength in Minnesota is his broad advantage there in how much he's trusted to handle the pandemic -- 58%-36% over Trump among registered voters, compared with a close 49%-42% in Wisconsin. "[11] Republicans believed that holding the election on April 7, when Democratic-leaning urban areas were hard-hit by the pandemic, would help secure them political advantages like a continued 5–2 conservative majority on the Wisconsin Supreme Court (through the elected seat of Daniel Kelly). President Donald Trump is lagging behind Democrat presidential candidate Joe Biden by seven points in the latest poll of likely voters in Wisconsin from Emerson College and NewsNation. In Wisconsin, the two are closer on each issue. Many pundits and politicians, including Trump, believed Biden was losing ground to the president because of the unrest and violence after police shot Jacob Blake, an unarmed Black man, in the back in Kenosha, Wisconsin. Wisconsin’s April 7 election has been subject to confusion, whiplash and litigation amid the COVID-19 pandemic. All of the state's eight seats in the United States House of Representatives are up for election, as well as sixteen seats in the Wisconsin Senate and all seats in the Wisconsin Assembly. Governor Tony Evers called the Wisconsin legislature into an April 4 special session, but the Republican-controlled Assembly and Senate graveled their sessions in and out within seventeen seconds. [14][15] The effects were felt most heavily in Milwaukee, Wisconsin's most populous city with the largest minority population and the center of the state's ongoing pandemic. For every $25, it will decrease by one. Trump is numerically ahead in northern Wisconsin, while the race is virtually tied in the often competitive southwest and Fox River Valley regions. [14][16] The lines disproportionately affected Milwaukee's large Hispanic and African-American population; the latter had already been disproportionately afflicted with the coronavirus pandemic, forming nearly half of Wisconsin's documented cases and over half its deaths at the time the vote was conducted. [19] Vos, the state Assembly Speaker, served as an election inspector for in-person voting on April 7. Ebony Cox/Green Bay Press-Gazette via USA Today Network. By contrast, Biden wins about 90% of those who pick the pandemic as the most important issue. Emerson College Polling Director Spencer Kimball noted that “while the electorate appears stable in Wisconsin, turnout will be the key, as Biden is looking to get his vote through the mail while Trump is looking to get his voters to the polls on Election Day.”. Preferences differ sharply by state region. Tammy Baldwin and Ron Johnson call for investigation into Wisconsin's missing absentee ballots", "First results in for April 7 Wisconsin election: Joe Biden, Donald Trump win primaries", "7th Congressional District: Republican Tom Tiffany wins seat held by former Rep. Sean Duffy, beating out Tricia Zunker", Candidate Tracking by Office 2020 General Election - 11/3/2020, Incumbents Who Have Filed a Notifications of Noncandidacy (EL-163) for the November 3, 2020 General Election, "Live: Wisconsin State Primary Election Results 2020", "Wisconsin State Assembly elections, 2020", "Walker judicial appointees fail to keep seats, plus more judicial election results", "Upset Victory in Wisconsin Supreme Court Race Gives Democrats a Lift", "Election results: Wisconsin spring primary election", Canvass Results for 2020 Spring Primary - 2/18/2020 6:00:00 AM, Canvass Results for 2020 Spring Election and Presidential Preference Vote, "Brown County voters to decide court, presidential races", Summary Results Report 2020 Spring Election & Pres Pref April 7, 2020, "Chippewa County features area's only contested judicial race", "Kristine Snow feels her experience will make a difference in circuit court race", "In race with questions about true residency, 2 challengers seek to unseat Scott Walker court appointee", "Children's Court prosecutor to challenge Scott Walker appointee in 2020 judicial election", "Marsy's Law constitutional amendment passes overwhelmingly in Wisconsin, giving more rights to victims of crimes", "Youth reigns: Appleton voters choose Jake Woodford as next mayor in odd, prolonged election", "Milwaukee Mayor Tom Barrett easily wins reelection in race against state Sen. Lena Taylor", "State Rep. David Crowley edges state Sen. Chris Larson for Milwaukee County exec", "Candidate for Milwaukee City Attorney says he tested positive for COVID-19", "Tearman Spencer wins Milwaukee city attorney's race, upsetting longtime incumbent Grant Langley", "Racine Unified's $1 billion referendum passes by 5 votes; recount not automatic", "Referendum recount: Day one brings margin from 5 to 3; recount to resume Monday", "$1B Racine schools referendum, subject to recount after petition, passes by 4 votes", "Appeal filed for RUSD referendum recount", "Wausau mayoral race: Katie Rosenberg defeats and unseats Robert Mielke, based on unofficial results", "Big Voting Decisions in Florida, Wisconsin, Texas: What They Mean for November", "Wisconsin: Election Tools, Deadlines, Dates, Rules, and Links", https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=2020_Wisconsin_elections&oldid=979549804, Short description with empty Wikidata description, Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike License, In Brown County, incumbent Judge Beau G. Liegeois, appointed by Governor. [11] Other cities were able to keep lines much shorter, including the state capital of Madison, which opened about two-thirds of its usual polling locations, and Appleton, which opened all of its usual 15. There are differences among groups in these neighboring states. Friday, 25 September 2020 01:23 PM. Some of the speculation that Biden was losing ground to Trump was based on a Morning Consult poll that was released Saturday. Wisconsin voters also approved an amendment to the Constitution of Wisconsin known popularly as Marsy's Law, intended to grant new rights to victims of crimes. In Minnesota, Biden holds a commanding 60-point lead in the traditionally Democratic Twin Cities core, while Trump holds a 31-point advantage in northern Minnesota, which he carried by 23 points in 2016. Wisconsin Democrats celebrated the results of the April election with the victory of their preferred candidate in the Wisconsin Supreme Court election, reducing the conservative majority on the court to 4–3. Statewide election dates. Here, gender is not a factor; Biden holds wide leads among moderate men and women alike. In this photo provided by Wisconsin Watch, election workers Jeff and Lori Lutzka, right, process absentee ballots at Milwaukee's central count facility on Aug. 11, 2020. The largest will be the general and presidential election, scheduled to be held on November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. In the NBC/Marist polls Biden led by 52 percent to 44 percent in Michigan among likely voters and by 54 to 44 in Wisconsin. Even with the pandemic-related recession, he gets narrow majority approval for handling the economy in Wisconsin, 53%-46%, and about an even split in Minnesota, 47%-49%, approve-disapprove. Trafalgar was one of the few pollsters to correctly predict Trump's 2016 upset over Clinton in Michigan. In the special election held on May 12, 2020, Republican state senator Tom Tiffany defeated Democrat Tricia Zunker. Polls are only displayed here if they meet CNN’s standards for reporting. A primary election for these offices was held on August 11, 2020. Dems asking courts ahead of election. This survey was produced via random-sample telephone interviewing, with about 75% of calls to cell phones, weighted to census norms for sex, age, race/ethnicity, education and region. ", "Make no mistake, if you give power to Joe Biden, the radical left will defund police departments all across America," Trump said, without evidence, in his acceptance speech at the Republican National Convention. Today moderates support Biden by a remarkable 57-point margin, 76%-19%, in Minnesota, and an also-broad 42 points, 69%-27%, in Wisconsin. Wisconsin 2020: Biden Maintains Seven-Point Lead. . As in national ABC News/Washington Post polls, in a statistical analysis called regression, views on the condition of the economy and concerns about catching the coronavirus independently predict vote choices, even when controlling for demographic factors including the three traditional heavy hitters in presidential vote preference -- partisanship, ideology and race/ethnicity. And turnout is a wildcard: As is the case nationally, President Donald Trump benefits from much greater enthusiasm among his supporters, who are far more apt to plan to vote on Election Day. Election Projection cannot screen all advertisements appearing here. (Number updated daily). "No one will be safe in Biden’s America. Further, both states have been gripped by protests over police treatment of Black people after the death of George Floyd in Minneapolis in May and the shooting of Jacob Blake in Kenosha, Wisconsin, last month. STATE POLLING. Close contest in Wisconsin; in Minnesota, not so much: Poll, Trump's tax revelation could tarnish image that fueled rise, Ballistics report raises questions in Breonna Taylor shooting, What America owes: How reparations would look and who would pay. . FiveThirtyEight's election forecast currently gives Trump a 31% chance of winning re-election in November. A Hill/HarrisX poll conducted Aug. 25-28 found Biden up 47%-38% over Trump and an Economist/YouGov survey conducted Aug. 23-25 found Biden up 50%-41%. The Trafalgar survey's margin of error was plus or minus 2.98 percentage points. Minnesota last voted for a Republican for president in 1972. Subscribe. The primary for this election was held concurrent with the spring primary on February 18. Trump leads by 21 points in Chiwaukee suburbs, home to the recent Kenosha protests. That gap in Minnesota overwhelms a dead heat in trust on the economy. Many experts agree the most accurate picture of a race is seen in polling averages, and Trump made gains there. A new Emerson College/NewsNation battleground state poll of Wisconsin shows former Vice-President Joe Biden with a seven-point lead at 51% among likely voters, compared to President Donald Trump who is at 44%. Thirty four of the state's 249 circuit court seats were up for election in 2020. The only major concession achieved was that absentee ballots postmarked by April 7 at 8 p.m. would be accepted until April 13. Political conventions and violent protests have not done much to change the race between President Donald Trump and Democratic nominee Joe Biden in 11 crucial battleground states, according to Morning Consult polls released Tuesday. It's a close contest in Wisconsin heading into the final seven weeks of the 2020 presidential campaign, while women, suburban residents and independents are among the groups lifting Joe Biden to a substantial lead in Minnesota, according to a pair of new ABC News/Washington Post polls. MORE: The fight to combat election misinformation blurs partisan lines amid Trump's attack on mail-in voting, MORE: Senate returns to partisan showdowns as election looms. [33] 63 seats are currently held by Republicans, 36 are held by Democrats. People of other racial and ethnic backgrounds make up small shares of likely voters in both states, 10% in Wisconsin and 13% in Minnesota. In Minnesota, by contrast, Biden holds a clear advantage, 57%-41%, in what's been a hoped-for Trump pickup after his narrow 45,000-vote loss four years ago.
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